Phillies-Mets NLDS by the numbers: Who has the edge?

The Phillies and Mets have coexisted for 62 years. And in 2024, they meet in the postseason for the first time.

There have been many memorable Mets-Phillies matchups and moments, but this week will trump all of those.

Game 1 on Saturday afternoon kicks off the highly anticipated series. Before that, let’s break this series down with some numbers from the 2024 season and over the past few seasons.

Record

Phillies: 95-67, 1st in NL East

Mets: 89-73, 3rd in NL East

Records since All-Star Break

Phillies: 33-33

Mets: 40-27

Season Series

7-6 Phillies.

7-3 Phillies in Zack Wheeler, Aaron Nola, Cristopher Sanchez, or Ranger Suarez starts.

0-3 Phillies in Taijuan Walker starts.

Last 100 Games

Phillies: 50-50

Mets: 50-50

Last 1,000 Games

Phillies: 500-500

Mets: 500-500

READ MORE: Phillies to face Mets in postseason for first time ever

Run Differential

Phillies: 113

Mets: 71

Runs Scored Per Game

Phillies: 4.84

Mets: 4.74

Runs Allowed Per Game

Phillies: 4.14

Mets: 4.30

Team Batting Stats

Phillies:
Batting average: .257
On-base percentage: .335
Slugging percentage: .425
Home runs: 198
Stolen bases: 148
Walk percentage: 8.4%
Strikeout percentage: 22.2%
Weighted on-base average (wOBA): .325
Weighted runs created plus (wRC+): 108
Wins-above replacement (WAR): 27.0

Mets:
Batting average: .246
On-base percentage: .319
Slugging percentage: .415
Home runs: 204
Stolen bases: 106
Walk percentage: 8.3%
Strikeout percentage: 22.4%
Weighted on-base average (wOBA): .320
Weighted runs created plus (wRC+): 109
Wins-above replacement (WAR): 25.8

Team Starting Pitching Stats

Phillies:
Innings pitched: 903.0
Strikeout percentage: 22.7%
Walk percentage: 6.7%
Home runs per 9 innings: 1.17
Ground-ball rate: 47.6%
Left on base rate: 74.5%
Home-run-to-fly-ball (HR/FB) rate: 14.1%
Earned run average (ERA): 3.81
Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP): 3.88
Wins-above replacement (WAR): 16.0

Mets:
Innings pitched: 892.2
Strikeout percentage: 21.5%
Walk percentage: 8.9%
Home runs per 9 innings: 1.04
Ground-ball rate: 43.6%
Left on base rate: 73.8%
Home-run-to-fly-ball (HR/FB) rate: 10.9%
Earned run average (ERA): 3.91
Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP): 4.17
Wins-above replacement (WAR): 10.2

Team Relief Pitching Stats

Phillies:
Innings pitched: 539.2
Strikeout percentage: 25.2%
Walk percentage: 8.4%
Home runs per 9 innings: 1.07
Ground-ball rate: 42.9%
Left on base rate: 72.5%
Home-run-to-fly-ball (HR/FB) rate: 11.8%
Earned run average (ERA): 3.94
Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP): 3.81
Wins-above replacement (WAR): 5.8

Mets:
Innings pitched: 549.2
Strikeout percentage: 27.7%
Walk percentage: 10.7%
Home runs per 9 innings: 1.02
Ground-ball rate: 44.7%
Left on base rate: 69.9%
Home-run-to-fly-ball (HR/FB) rate: 12.1%
Earned run average (ERA): 4.03
Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP): 3.86
Wins-above replacement (WAR): 3.8

LISTEN: Bring on the Mets!

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Now, of course, all stats go back to zero in the postseason. Everyone is 0-0.

The Mets have momentum. They are coming off of an unbelievable Game 3 Wild Card victory over the Brewers in Milwaukee. Friday was their first off day in over two weeks.

Meanwhile, the Phillies have not played a real game since last Sunday.

Get mentally prepared.

Here is some general information for the best-of-five NLDS:

Game Times and Broadcasts

Game 1: Saturday, October 5, 4:08 p.m. ET, FOX, 94.1 WIP at Citizens Bank Park

Game 2: Sunday, October 6, 4:08 p.m. ET, FS1, 94.1 WIP at Citizens Bank Park

Game 3: Tuesday, October 8, 5:08 p.m. ET, FS1, 94.1 WIP at Citi Field

Game 4 (if necessary): Wednesday, October 9, 5:08 p.m. ET*, FS1, 94.1 WIP at Citi Field

Game 5 (if necessary): Friday, October 11, 4:08 p.m. ET*, FS1, 94.1 WIP at Citizens Bank Park

*If the Dodgers/Padres series ends after Game 3, Phillies/Mets Game 4 will move to 6:08 p.m. ET. If the Dodgers/Padres series ends after Game 4, Phillies/Mets Game 5 will move to 8:08 p.m. ET.

Probable Pitching Matchups

Game 1: Zack Wheeler (RHP, 16-7, 2.57 ERA) vs. Kodai Senga (RHP, 1-0, 3.38 ERA)

Game 2: Cristopher Sanchez (LHP, 11-9, 3.32 ERA) vs. Luis Severino (RHP, 11-7, 3.91 ERA)

Game 3: Aaron Nola (RHP, 14-8, 3.57 ERA) vs. TBD

Game 4 (if necessary): Ranger Suarez (LHP, 12-8, 3.46 ERA) vs. TBD

Game 5 (if necessary): Zack Wheeler (RHP, 16-7, 2.57 ERA) vs. Kodai Senga (RHP, 1-0, 3.38 ERA)

All stats from the 2024 regular season.

READ MORE: NLDS pitching updates: Kodai Senga to start Game 1 for Mets, Cristopher Sanchez starts Game 2 for Phillies

Umpires

James Hoye (92) *Crew Chief*
Andy Fletcher (#49)
Edwin Moscoso (#32)
Doug Eddings (#88)
Carlos Torres (#37)
Rob Drake (#30)

Broadcasters

Adam Amin (Play-By-Play)
AJ Pierzynski (Analyst)
Adam Wainwright (Analyst)
Tom Verducci (Reporter)

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